Russia may be included in the list of countries subject to the most severe export sanctions if it decides to invade Ukraine. Currently, Cuba, Syria, Iran and the DPRK are on this list.
Restrictions may be imposed on goods manufactured in the United States and supplied in Russia, as well as some foreign-made goods created under the jurisdiction of the States. Electronics, software and related technologies are among those considered for the export ban.
According to media reports, sanctions will not be imposed "fr om small to large", instead Washington intends to start immediately with tough measures and maintain them. According to American officials, these measures will have a serious impact on the Russian economy, including the financial sector and critical sectors for the Kremlin.
There are no concrete solutions in this regard yet, but the information survey in the largest news agencies has already been done. So far, this is some kind of influence or an attempt to manipulate Russia in order to change its foreign policy behavior.
The question arises: is it possible to talk about the bluff of the United States, in connection with this above-mentioned information probe? After all, a bluff is always some kind of behavior aimed at making the subject believe in deception, that is, perceive deception as the truth, believe in something that actually does not exist and cannot be.
In order to understand this, it is necessary to understand to what extent Cuba, Syria, Iran and the DPRK, that is, countries that have already been subject to these embargoes, can be placed together with Russia. If there are many economic and political arguments that such an ordination is impossible, then all this is a bluff of the United States.
At the same time, it is necessary to recognize that Russia has a key role in the global economy as an oil and gas resource country. For example, the survival of Europe depends on this factor, especially in winter. Not to mention what a powerful outrage will occur in the stock market if such a thorough embargo is imposed. And there are many such economic factors that do not allow Russia to be compared with Cuba, Syria, Iran and the DPRK.
After all, Russia is a nuclear power. At the same time, history shows that the United States is a rational country tied up in various obligations and therefore a thorough commodity embargo against Russia would be adventurous and utopian for the United States itself. Therefore, when it is said that Russia makes up a very small part of the world economy, it must be remembered that the world economy is a product of world politics, in which Russia plays a key role. This once again confirms that Russia's relationship with the countries for which the embargo was imposed is far fr om incorrect.
Thus, this above-mentioned behavior of the United States is a bluff. And it is only a method of provocative loosening of the Russian economy. And we have already passed this when oil prices were negative.
The topic concerns how Russia itself is bluffing on the economic and political scene, drawing indicators for itself in the economy, defense, industry, science, education, etc. - this is a separate topic for my next publications.
Thus, the fight between the bluffs of the USA and Russia is a separate, interesting and relevant topic.
In psychology there is a principle of the external through the internal. The behavior of the subject cannot be interpreted only as an identical impression of external influence. The subject behaves in accordance with its internal conditions.
Thus, if this principle is extended to an entity, that is, to an international entity - Russia, then it is possible to predict almost one hundred percent the behavior of Russia as an international entity in the current critical negotiations with the West. And for this it is only necessary to look at the chronic internal political behavior of the Russian government.
Usually at the beginning something radical was proposed, and then this decision was canceled after the reaction of the Russian society and the media. Or at the beginning, an information survey was made, then the reaction was studied, and only then a decision was made.
Thus, if we apply the above-mentioned principle of external through internal in relation to the connection between the domestic and foreign policy of the Russian government, it is quite obvious that after the end of the information flow and the reaction of the West to it, Russia will make concessions to the West in the ongoing negotiations.
Bluff raises the question of the adequacy of the bluffer: how much he is aware of reality, as well as the likelihood of getting an unpleasant answer. President Trump bluffed and blackmailed, thereby undermining American leadership.
Russia and the United States as subjects communicate and the whole world is watching with trepidation. And, of course, the question arises as to which of these subjects is more adequate in perceiving the problem of the World.
My psychological analysis showed that both subjects are good in their inadequacy.
First, about the inadequacy of Russia.
Russia also looks like an infantile country with the presence (ZPR), that is, with a delay in its development. And infantile subjects are always straightforward and therefore perceives all the seriousness of the United States as made-up, then as irrelevant conventions. Russia as a subject is also a hysterical subject, that is, it is demonstrative and even capable of demonstratively humiliating competitors, although it does not have a moral right to do so according to its indicators. Russia is dangerous because it can tell the truth. By the way, this truth-the uterus and the boot of the infantile Khrushchev saved the world once. The USA thought about it. And these traditions have come to our planet again.
Russia is infantile and lagging behind - this is a fact! But he wants to survive and wants to be in the World as a subject. Does not want to disappear under the onslaught of the American project.
But Russia has managed, for all its infantile nature, to "get sick" and digitize on the basis of its oil and gas raw materials. All this even now allows her to criticize and underestimate the West as a subject of lies, false democracy, imaginary fight against corruption, etc. Russia is trying to equalize its underdevelopment and destructiveness with the same underdevelopment and destructiveness of the West and the United States, they say, we should not look up to you as an example to follow. And therefore, do not meddle in our structures of survival as a subject, in particular, in Ukraine, through which it becomes possible to deprive Russia of subjectivity. And Russia will disappear as a subject.
Now about the inadequacy of the United States.
The United States is an international criminal entity (the Ploughman of the planet Earth), which is difficult to plant and punish. Moreover, this subject simulates in the office of a forensic psychiatrist (UN, OSCE, PACE, EU, etc.) social schizophrenia (bifurcation, the policy of two standards, cynicism, disenfranchisement, hooliganism, provocations, delirium, falsification).
The USA is playing world schizo (postmodernists have long proved this, see "schizoanalysis" in the encyclopedia of postmodernism), playing with the world (expressions addressed to Russia "You will lose ...") Moreover, this Plowman of planet Earth (Dollarobaron with his dollaromans) is also a source of manic contagion and financial addictions (World Dollaromania, Creditomania, Gambling and various Addictions forming Chronic Debt Slavery, etc. ), which reinforce the inadequacy of other international actors in order to impose their own American scenario in the future (I write these diagnoses with a capital letter, emphasizing globality and generality).
At the same time, this Plowman of the planet Earth is also in a debt hole, but he does not worry, since he prints these green pacifiers himself. Some of my opponents believe that the United States is not mowing under the Shizu, but really schizophrenic (inadequate, deaf, autistic, that is, listens only to itself, ideologically paranoid, bifurcates between standards and worlds, etc. symptoms), and therefore, recovers for a while, in particular, only after the Shock Therapy of the World ("two skyscrapers syndrome" and terrorist acts).
Then the question arises: who will treat this World Schizophrenic Monster and by what methods?
This is a problem! And this problem is compounded if we suddenly find out that this is just a simulation of the World Schizo, that this is a Game of the USA for a Fool... And again, if this is a Global Gambling Addiction, then this is a diagnosis and you can raise the question of a cure? But you can be late and Madness will sweep the world, so much so that not a war will be unleashed, but a catastrophe where there are no vanquished. And today, in January 2022, the world has come to this point.
The schizo of the World at the stage of Development is productive (The rise of creativity, the Discovery of New Worlds and other innovations in science, art, technology), but this stage has long been passed (it was described by postmodernists).
Therefore, the question arises: "What can act as a Prison of the World, wh ere this Schizophrenic World Monster could be isolated, or what could act as a Mental Hospital of the World, wh ere it could be treated."
Thus, who will deal with these inadequate subjects. Who will act as a World Psychiatrist. Is it really going to be a silent country and an observer - China. But in psychiatry, secrecy and silence are also a symptom. But then the world went crazy. And this is not new, fr om the point of view of postmodern philosophy. This is just the heyday of the Culture of Disaster.
Until now, the world order that was formed by the United States has been tolerated by various international actors. And quite recently we learned that there is an international entity in the world that is no longer satisfied with this world order. It turned out to be Russia. Russia has expressed its rejection of the current world order, which, thanks to the activation of the United States, has come to its critical state.
This week will be a key one in terms of solving the problems of the world order. Or everything will remain the same, and the Hegemon will continue its expansionist traditions. Or all these traditions of the Hegemon will cease due to an adequate perception of the criticality and catastrophism of this confrontation.
The world did not notice how it approached the era of games and betting so deeply that it learned to earn profits and dividends on fears, phobias and anxieties. This is the era of postmodernism, which no one has canceled. Even if politicians are not capable of a postmodern understanding of reality, the epoch still permeates their actions and perversions.
Therefore, all these feelings of anxiety and fear of the world are just a tool for the benefit of individual subjects of the world. It's like in horror movies, the more fears, the more profit and mass appeal from cinema. The whole world has turned into one big stadium, wh ere the audience cheers for football players, that is, for the political leaders of the world.
I wouldn't be surprised if soon there will be bets on the USA-Russia, NATO -Russian Army confrontation on the sweepstakes and in bookmakers, etc. The world, apparently, is already filled with this excitement and is ready to bet on bitcoin or as it is done on the stock exchange? Especially now.
It is known that such games are good when they last a long time and drag on. You can earn more on bets. Therefore, the delay in the Russia-NATO negotiations will be long. The hidden pragmatic business goals of these games will take their toll. Therefore, the delay is not only due to waiting for warm weather in Europe to reduce the need for gas.
Now the Cold War will become just a tool of these world games for the bets of the world political casino. And some will have powerful profits that did not exist in the Cold War era of Reagan and Carter.
The world is addictive and plays different games. The world has become a gambler so much that it feels and does not see reality, looking at its monitors. The world is playing dice! But the most dangerous and gambling game, linked to the stakes of life and death!
But who is the owner of this casino that allowed the world to play like this? The owner is a Hegemon. And the casino owner usually never loses. There are exceptions only in cases when some small offended player can blow up this casino. But is there such a player in the world?
Here is a philosophical understanding of what is happening... I don't like the short-sighted political science analytics that the world's media are currently saturated with about the current situation. Take off your short-sighted glasses and look beyond the Horizon!
Associate Professor of the Institute of Psychology and Education of KFU, Candidate of Psychological Sciences Ramil Garifullin